Grassrisk

Fructan Risk in Grass – What Horse Owners Need to Know

Why fructan is dangerous, when risk increases, and how to protect your horse.

What Is Fructan?

Fructan is a storage sugar produced by grasses through photosynthesis. When a plant produces more sugar than it can use for growth, the excess is stored as fructan in stems and leaves. Perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne), which dominates most horse pastures, can accumulate particularly high fructan levels.

For healthy horses, fructan in normal amounts is harmless. It becomes problematic when concentrations in the grass spike – because even short grazing periods can then deliver a dangerous amount of fructan.

Why Is Fructan Dangerous for Horses?

Horses cannot digest fructan in the small intestine. It passes undigested into the hindgut, where bacteria rapidly ferment it. This causes acidosis in the gut, killing beneficial bacteria and releasing toxins (endotoxins) into the bloodstream.

These endotoxins can trigger laminitis – an extremely painful inflammation of the sensitive laminae in the hoof, which in severe cases leads to rotation of the coffin bone. Horses with Equine Metabolic Syndrome (EMS), Cushing's disease (PPID), obesity, or a history of laminitis are especially at risk.

Which Weather Factors Influence Fructan Risk?

Fructan concentration in grass is heavily influenced by weather conditions. The key factors are:

  • Sunlight – More sun means more photosynthesis and therefore more fructan production.
  • Low temperatures – Below about 5°C (41°F), grass barely grows but continues to store fructan. Night frost followed by a sunny day is particularly critical.
  • Drought – Stressed grass grows slower and accumulates fructan.
  • Cloud cover and rain – Overcast, mild days with precipitation promote growth and tend to lower fructan levels.
  • Wind – Strong wind can stress grass and increase evaporation, indirectly affecting fructan content.

The most dangerous conditions typically occur in spring and autumn: cold nights followed by sunny days, when grass is full of energy but barely growing.

How Does the Grassrisk Traffic Light Work?

Grassrisk analyses hourly weather data for your location and calculates a risk score. This is displayed as a simple traffic light system:

Green – Low risk. Conditions favour low fructan levels in grass. Normal grazing time is generally safe.

Yellow – Medium risk. Increased caution is advised. Sensitive horses should have shorter grazing periods.

Red – High risk. Weather conditions promote high fructan levels. For at-risk horses, grazing should be significantly limited or avoided.

6-Day Lookback Instead of a Snapshot

Fructan in grass is not a momentary value – it's the result of the past few days. A cold, clear night or a sunny dry spell still has an effect days later. Most weather apps only show a snapshot. Grassrisk simulates fructan hour by hour across the previous six days up to the selected day.

This produces a continuous, physically plausible trajectory: the sugar stored yesterday feeds into today's assessment. That reveals risk situations a single-day view misses – for example a multi-day spell of fine weather with cool nights.

Grass Growth Index – Unique in Fructan Assessment

Fructan drops when grass actively grows and consumes its stored sugar. That's why Grassrisk also calculates a grass growth index (low/medium/high). It shows how strongly the grass is currently breaking down sugar.

A high growth index under mild, moist conditions means the grass uses fructan faster than it is produced – risk falls. If growth stalls (cold, drought), sugar accumulates instead. No other freely available pasture app offers this growth information.

The Simulation Model: Photosynthesis vs. Consumption

Behind the traffic light sits an hourly simulation model that balances two opposing processes: fructan production through photosynthesis and fructan consumption through growth and respiration.

Production rises with sunlight and peaks around 15°C, the optimum for C3 grasses. Consumption follows grass growth – strong in mild warmth with adequate soil moisture, close to zero under frost, heat stress or drought. The hourly difference yields the fructan trajectory.

At night photosynthesis pauses while respiration and translocation continue – which is why fructan usually dips slightly overnight. All weather data comes from Open-Meteo and is updated several times a day.

How to Use Grassrisk

Using the app is simple and free:

  1. Enter your location or pasture – or use GPS.
  2. Check the current traffic light colour and risk score.
  3. Plan your horse's grazing time according to the recommendation.

You can also view the forecast for the coming days to plan the week ahead. With an account, you can save locations and receive push notifications when risk is high.

Practical Tips for Laminitis Prevention

  • Keep morning grazing short – fructan builds up overnight in cold temperatures and is only reduced through growth during the day.
  • After frost with sunshine the following day: avoid or severely limit grazing.
  • Overweight horses and those with EMS/Cushing's should always be grazed in a controlled manner.
  • Don't let them graze too short – fructan concentration is highest in the bottom 5cm of stems.
  • Increase spring grazing time very gradually and check risk daily.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Grassrisk suitable for ponies and donkeys?

Yes! Ponies, donkeys, and miniature horses are even more susceptible to fructan-induced laminitis. The traffic light is useful for all equines.

How accurate is the forecast?

The traffic light is based on a model that combines weather data with scientific findings on fructan formation. It provides informed guidance but does not replace a laboratory analysis of your pasture.

Do I have to pay?

The core feature – current traffic light for one location – is permanently free. Premium features like multiple locations, weekly forecast, and push alerts are optionally available.

Why does Grassrisk look six days back?

Because fructan builds up and breaks down over several days. A pure snapshot would miss risk situations that developed across an entire spell of fine or cold weather. The continuous back-calculation makes the displayed value considerably more reliable.

What does the grass growth index tell me?

It shows how actively the grass is growing and consuming fructan. Strong growth lowers the risk; stalled growth (from cold or drought) lets fructan rise. This extra information helps you interpret the traffic light.

Where does the weather data come from and how often is it updated?

Grassrisk uses high-resolution hourly weather data from Open-Meteo – including temperature, solar radiation, soil moisture and precipitation. The data is updated several times a day, so the traffic light always reflects the latest forecast.